Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 159.754754 175.181029 190.955563 208.263733 226.691783 245.697178 266.750573
2024-12-29 136.236829 159.466233 184.317650 212.758889 244.282655 278.030392 316.765667
2025-01-05 117.331479 146.070348 178.133053 216.247101 260.005292 308.364728 365.534509
2025-01-12 99.570027 131.660285 168.935810 214.847508 269.275417 331.153536 406.211458
2025-01-19 85.405970 119.676353 161.034447 213.669403 277.895322 352.757989 445.611363
2025-01-26 77.679153 114.558449 160.565887 220.765181 296.003081 385.504521 498.517494
2025-02-02 70.675303 109.475890 159.425343 226.486310 312.149619 415.929627 549.062426
2025-02-09 65.016575 105.477563 159.108134 232.819546 328.838120 447.054787 600.818741
2025-02-16 59.881202 101.600654 158.466996 238.367013 344.348479 476.768987 651.175357
2025-02-23 51.253655 91.827152 149.014281 231.471174 343.156763 485.071175 674.639344
2025-03-02 44.843635 84.626868 142.493336 227.942380 345.896311 498.047283 703.844978
2025-03-09 40.556356 80.219805 139.555750 229.023357 354.562776 518.590581 742.809366
2025-03-16 36.991474 76.704275 137.790780 231.789711 365.778301 542.995691 787.670050
2025-03-23 34.970201 75.539091 139.446387 239.484307 383.959573 576.979630 845.654147
2025-03-30 32.596656 73.524750 139.623435 244.933167 399.063621 607.087211 899.025689
2025-04-06 29.153606 69.244289 135.917921 244.337944 405.462091 625.447796 937.034046
2025-04-13 26.050999 65.213602 132.287461 243.577481 411.441163 643.189429 974.343689
2025-04-20 24.900270 64.743123 134.427248 251.695132 430.409627 679.034939 1036.458168
2025-04-27 23.549290 63.725524 135.542833 258.170989 447.029525 711.812068 1094.786592
2025-05-04 22.409754 62.997111 137.058324 265.243401 464.586715 746.065246 1155.458351
2025-05-11 21.209737 62.006866 138.026201 271.404983 480.842826 778.667761 1214.217631
2025-05-18 18.123223 56.583646 130.771930 263.854064 476.105780 781.348030 1231.646543
2025-05-25 15.875287 52.678678 125.941293 259.989271 476.737334 791.526238 1259.428776